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Guotai Junan: The liquor sector is determined to be ahead of growth, paying attention to the trend of price approval and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. Guotai Junan said that the liquor reporting end began to enter a downward period in 2024Q2, and the bottom shock is expected in 2025H1. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period.The "construction drawing" of capital market reform in 2025 is clear, "expanding patient capital", "attracting social capital to participate in venture capital more vigorously", "deepening comprehensive reform of capital market investment and financing" and "expanding high-level opening up" ... The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11 to 12, and the economic work in 2025 was deployed. Many formulations and requirements are closely related to the capital market reform, development and stability in 2025. Experts said that in 2025, the capital market reform will continue to be comprehensively promoted, and it will become the focus to expand patient capital, deepen comprehensive reform of investment and financing, and expand high-level opening up. The "construction drawing" of the capital market reform has become clearer, and it is necessary to do a good job in the future to achieve results and further consolidate the "stable" foundation of the market. (CSI)Guotai Junan: It is expected that the lithium price will fluctuate in the bottom range in 2025, and there is a strong opportunity and space for rebound. Guotai Junan Securities recently reported that the lithium price has entered the bottom range by the end of 2024. If the demand maintains the current neutral estimate in 2025, the lithium price will fluctuate in the bottom range. At present, the market is optimistic about the demand in 2025, and the industry supply has slowed down. It is estimated that the price trend of lithium will fluctuate in the bottom range in 2025, in which the stage is affected by seasonal factors and there is a strong rebound opportunity and space. The market expected the trading of lithium plate earlier, that is, when the commodity price bottomed out, the lithium plate already contained the expectation of industrial clearing. When the industry actually enters the stage of supply and clearing, the sector will trade commodity price reversal expectations. From this, we infer that the rise of lithium plate will start before the spot price reverses.

At the end of new york on Thursday (December 12th), the main contract of CME Bitcoin futures BTC was reported at $100,000, down 1.90% from the end of new york on Wednesday. The main contract of CME ethereum futures DCR was reported at $3,888.50, up 0.52% from Wednesday.Blinken: Providing 500 million U.S. dollars in aid to Ukraine. U.S. Secretary of State Blinken said that he would provide Ukraine with a 500 million U.S. dollar aid package, which includes providing "Haima" ammunition and unmanned aerial vehicle systems.Australia's S&P/ASX200 index opened down 66.80 points, or 0.80%, at 8263.50 points on Friday, December 13th.

Nine stowaways' bodies were found in Tunisia, and Tunisia's national news agency reported on the 12th that its coast guard found nine stowaways' bodies in the waters near Mahdiyah province in the east.Sources: Boeing (BA.N) is expected to deliver the new Air Force One after Trump's next term.848 agricultural and livestock products in Inner Mongolia were selected into the national list of famous and excellent new agricultural products. The reporter learned from the Agriculture and Animal Husbandry Department of Inner Mongolia that 30 products including Songshan sweet pepper and Jiuyuan duck-billed fish declared by Inner Mongolia were recently selected into the third batch of national list of famous and excellent new agricultural products in 2024. A total of 848 agricultural and livestock products in Inner Mongolia were selected into the national list of famous and excellent new agricultural products, ranking among the top in the country. (Xinhua News Agency)